SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Kalmar |
| 48.3% | 24.32% | 27.38% |
| Both teams to score 56.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% | 46.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.66% | 68.34% |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% | 19.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.21% | 50.79% |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% | 30.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.19% | 66.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.3% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 6.94% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.01% Total : 27.38% |
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