Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.