Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Orebro had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Orebro win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.