Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
