SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Hacken |
44.62% ( 0.01) | 22.91% ( 0) | 32.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.37% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.01) | 36.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.26% ( -0.01) | 58.74% ( 0.01) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( -0.01) | 16.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.06% ( -0) | 46.94% ( -0) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0.01) | 22.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.88% ( -0.02) | 56.11% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 4.31% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.47% |
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