SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 55.59%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.38%) and 0-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Hacken |
23.41% ( 0.16) | 21% ( 0.08) | 55.59% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 63.67% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.74% ( -0.2) | 34.26% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.84% ( -0.22) | 56.16% ( 0.22) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.01) | 27.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( 0.02) | 62.77% ( -0.02) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.6% ( -0.13) | 12.4% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.72% ( -0.28) | 38.28% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.71% Total : 23.41% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0)0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.6% |
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