SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Kalmar | 18 | 4 | 27 |
| 9 | Sirius | 18 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 | Elfsborg | 19 | 7 | 24 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Djurgardens IF | 19 | 25 | 38 |
| 2 | Hacken | 17 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 18 | 8 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Hacken |
27.03% ( -1.23) | 21.86% ( -0.48) | 51.11% ( 1.7) |
| Both teams to score 64.53% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.16% ( 1.36) | 34.84% ( -1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.19% ( 1.51) | 56.81% ( -1.51) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -0.11) | 25% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( -0.15) | 59.65% ( 0.15) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( 1.06) | 13.95% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.56% ( 2.04) | 41.43% ( -2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.36)2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.03% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.86% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.15)1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.13)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.75% Total : 51.11% |
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