SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Sirius |
52.92% ( 0.02) | 22.79% ( -0) | 24.29% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( -0.02) | 41.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( -0.02) | 64.19% ( 0.02) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( 0) | 15.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% ( 0.01) | 44.99% ( -0) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% ( -0.03) | 30.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33% ( -0.03) | 67% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.57% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 24.29% |
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