SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
52.26% ( 0.02) | 20.76% ( 0.01) | 26.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 68.69% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.08) | 29.4% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.52% ( -0.1) | 50.47% ( 0.09) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.27% ( -0.02) | 11.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.13% ( -0.05) | 36.86% ( 0.05) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( -0.06) | 22.17% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( -0.09) | 55.57% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.26% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.98% |
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