Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.