Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for IFK Norrkoping in this match.