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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 10
Jul 22, 2020 at 6pm UK
Östgötaporten

Norrkoping
2 - 0
Varbergs

Nyman (29'), Lauritsen (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tranberg (40'), Samuel (66'), Modig (79')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Norrkoping and Varbergs BoIS.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for IFK Norrkoping in this match.

Result
IFK NorrkopingDrawVarbergs BoIS
62.29%20.7%17.01%
Both teams to score 53.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.66%42.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.26%64.74%
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.97%13.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.42%39.58%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.76%38.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25%75%
Score Analysis
    IFK Norrkoping 62.28%
    Varbergs BoIS 17.01%
    Draw 20.7%
IFK NorrkopingDrawVarbergs BoIS
2-0 @ 10.34%
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 6.76%
4-0 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 3.25%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 62.28%
1-1 @ 9.76%
0-0 @ 4.98%
2-2 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.7%
0-1 @ 4.79%
1-2 @ 4.69%
0-2 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.53%
1-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 17.01%


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