Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Varbergs BoIS in this match.