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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 29
Nov 29, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Paskbergsvallen
M

Varbergs
3 - 2
Malmo

Ayer (25'), Barny (52'), Seljmani (80')
Seljmani (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nielsen (64'), Larsson (90+3')
Nielsen (78')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Malmo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 0-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawMalmo
19.03%21.1%59.86%
Both teams to score 56.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26%40.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.87%63.12%
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98%35.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24%71.76%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76%13.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.99%40%
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 19.04%
    Malmo 59.86%
    Draw 21.1%
Varbergs BoISDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 5.16%
1-0 @ 4.86%
2-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 19.04%
1-1 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 5.22%
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.1%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-2 @ 9.48%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-3 @ 6.7%
0-3 @ 6.39%
2-3 @ 3.52%
1-4 @ 3.39%
0-4 @ 3.23%
2-4 @ 1.78%
1-5 @ 1.37%
0-5 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 59.86%


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