SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halmstads BK win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halmstads BK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Halmstads BK in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Halmstads BK.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Halmstads BK |
33.25% ( 0.21) | 26.7% ( -0.03) | 40.04% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.5% ( 0.16) | 53.49% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% ( 0.13) | 75.01% ( -0.13) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( 0.22) | 30.25% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( 0.26) | 66.42% ( -0.26) |
| Halmstads BK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.03) | 26.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( -0.04) | 61.3% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Halmstads BK |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.25% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.03% |
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