SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Malmo |
19.23% ( -0.31) | 23.08% ( -0.15) | 57.69% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( 0.18) | 49.09% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( 0.16) | 71.16% ( -0.16) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.33% ( -0.24) | 39.67% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.65% ( -0.22) | 76.35% ( 0.22) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( 0.22) | 16.75% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.32% ( 0.4) | 46.68% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.23% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 11.87% 0-2 @ 10.6% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.84% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 57.68% |
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