SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
26.49% ( -0.4) | 25.42% ( -0.19) | 48.08% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.7% ( 0.48) | 51.3% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.87% ( 0.42) | 73.13% ( -0.41) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.07) | 34.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( -0.07) | 70.73% ( 0.08) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( 0.46) | 21.35% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.69% ( 0.7) | 54.31% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.49% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 48.08% |
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