SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Degerfors | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
52.92% ( -0.73) | 24.47% ( 0.18) | 22.61% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 50.84% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( -0.17) | 50.71% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( -0.15) | 72.61% ( 0.14) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( -0.35) | 19.12% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.25% ( -0.57) | 50.74% ( 0.57) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.43) | 37.14% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% ( 0.42) | 73.92% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Degerfors | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.61% |
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