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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13
Jul 7, 2024 at 1pm UK
Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
2 - 0
Goteborg

Samuel Kalu (53'), Zeljkovic (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wendt (56'), Santos (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varnamo 1-2 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Goteborg 1-0 Elfsborg
Saturday, June 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Varnamo 1-2 IFK Goteborg

Both sides have 14 points from their 12 league matches this season, and we are expecting a close game on Sunday, but Goteborg have enough quality to edge out a narrow victory here to record their first success over Varnamo since November 2022. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
VarnamoDrawIFK Goteborg
34.59% (0.159 0.16) 25.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 40.18% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07% (0.108 0.11)46.93% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82% (0.103 0.1)69.18% (-0.104 -0.1)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.145 0.14)26.22% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (0.196 0.2)61.32% (-0.2 -0.2)
IFK Goteborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)23.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)57.06% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 34.59%
    IFK Goteborg 40.18%
    Draw 25.22%
VarnamoDrawIFK Goteborg
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Varnamo 1-2 Mjallby AIF
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 0-4 Varnamo
Monday, May 27 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 0-2 Kalmar
Sunday, May 19 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Vasteras 0-2 Varnamo
Wednesday, May 15 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-1 Brommapojkarna
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 1-2 Varnamo
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Goteborg 1-0 Elfsborg
Saturday, June 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AIK 5-2 Goteborg
Monday, May 27 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Goteborg 1-0 Mjallby AIF
Tuesday, May 21 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 2-2 Goteborg
Thursday, May 16 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Goteborg 0-3 Malmo
Monday, May 13 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: GAIS 2-1 Goteborg
Monday, May 6 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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