SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Djurgardens IF | 19 | 25 | 38 |
| 2 | Hacken | 18 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Hammarby | 18 | 25 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Varbergs BoIS | 19 | -16 | 20 |
| 13 | Varnamo | 19 | -10 | 19 |
| 14 | Helsingborg | 18 | -14 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 14.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Varnamo |
66.99% ( -0.44) | 18.36% ( 0.16) | 14.65% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.92% ( -0.11) | 36.09% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.81% ( -0.12) | 58.19% ( 0.13) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.05% ( -0.13) | 9.95% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.09% ( -0.32) | 32.91% ( 0.32) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( 0.31) | 37.33% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.89% ( 0.3) | 74.12% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Varnamo |
| 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.14% Total : 66.99% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.36% | 1-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 14.65% |
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