Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 34.32%. A win for Platense had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 32.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.84%) and 2-1 (6.36%). The likeliest Platense win was 0-1 (14.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
