SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 35.06%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 2-1 (6.51%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (13.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
35.06% ( -0.14) | 31.9% ( -0.04) | 33.04% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 37.41% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.41% ( 0.1) | 70.58% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.39% ( 0.06) | 87.6% ( -0.07) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( -0.04) | 38.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.13% ( -0.04) | 74.87% ( 0.03) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( 0.18) | 39.56% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( 0.17) | 76.25% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 35.05% | 0-0 @ 15.07% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.89% | 0-1 @ 13.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.46% Total : 33.04% |
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