SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Gimnasia |
31.77% ( 0.37) | 28.26% ( 0.07) | 39.97% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 46.43% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.34% ( -0.16) | 59.66% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.02% ( -0.12) | 79.98% ( 0.12) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( 0.19) | 34.44% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( 0.2) | 71.15% ( -0.2) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( -0.33) | 29.17% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% ( -0.41) | 65.11% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.76% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
