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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 18, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia
1 - 0
Gimnasia

Rios (37')
Bianchi (76'), Sequeira (90+14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Canto (35'), Cabral (73'), Castillo (90+8'), Morales (90+10')
Cabral (90+10')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huracan 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Saturday, June 15 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 2-1 Barracas Central
Thursday, June 13 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Gimnasia

The last three meetings between these clubs in all competitions have been split — one win for both and a draw — and no side is expected to edge ahead on Thursday. A point apiece could be in the offing, as Independiente Rivadavia have secured one point in their last seven league games going back to last season while Gimnasia have an identical road return. A draw seems like a strong possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawGimnasia
31.77% (0.372 0.37) 28.26% (0.07 0.07) 39.97% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 46.43% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.34% (-0.155 -0.16)59.66% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.02% (-0.117 -0.12)79.98% (0.116 0.12)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (0.19000000000001 0.19)34.44% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (0.201 0.2)71.15% (-0.205 -0.2)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.328 -0.33)29.17% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (-0.407 -0.41)65.11% (0.40400000000001 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 31.76%
    Gimnasia 39.96%
    Draw 28.25%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 31.76%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.04% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 12.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 39.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huracan 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Saturday, June 15 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Union
Wednesday, June 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, May 26 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-0 Godoy Cruz
Saturday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-2 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Tuesday, April 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 2-1 Barracas Central
Thursday, June 13 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 2-1 Gimnasia
Monday, June 3 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-0 Banfield
Sunday, May 26 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, May 19 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-2 Banfield
Sunday, April 14 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division


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