SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.9%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 1-0 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Independiente |
23.07% ( 0.13) | 29.97% ( 0.11) | 46.96% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 37.36% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.6% ( -0.21) | 68.4% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.8% ( -0.14) | 86.2% ( 0.14) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.11% ( 0) | 46.89% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.6% ( 0) | 82.4% ( -0) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.23) | 29.66% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.3% ( -0.28) | 65.7% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.07% | 0-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 29.97% | 0-1 @ 16.9% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.27% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.27% Total : 46.95% |
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