SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | River Plate |
35.72% ( 0.12) | 26.72% ( 0.17) | 37.56% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( -0.68) | 53.23% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( -0.58) | 74.79% ( 0.58) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( -0.26) | 28.56% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.65% ( -0.33) | 64.35% ( 0.33) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.48) | 27.47% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% ( -0.63) | 62.97% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.72% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 37.55% |
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