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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Nov 30, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
1 - 2
River Plate

Carrillo (60')
Ascacibar (35'), Gimenez Alanda (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Colidio (4'), Meza (9')
Fernandez (90'), Villagra (90'), Armani (90+5')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Rosario
Wednesday, November 20 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 River Plate
Friday, November 22 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
EstudiantesDrawRiver Plate
36.22% (0.134 0.13) 28.5% (-0.023 -0.02) 35.28% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 46.3% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.91% (0.070999999999998 0.07)60.09% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.69% (0.053999999999998 0.05)80.3% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.122 0.12)31.65% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.93% (0.141 0.14)68.06% (-0.145 -0.14)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.74% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)32.26% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)68.75% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 36.21%
    River Plate 35.27%
    Draw 28.49%
EstudiantesDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 11.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Rosario
Wednesday, November 20 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, November 10 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Estudiantes
Tuesday, November 5 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Thursday, October 31 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Estudiantes
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-2 Instituto
Sunday, October 20 at 9.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 River Plate
Friday, November 22 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Barracas Central
Sunday, November 10 at 8.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 2-3 River Plate
Thursday, November 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Banfield
Saturday, November 2 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, October 30 at 12.45am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, October 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division


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