SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 9.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.4%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.54%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | San Lorenzo |
68.72% ( -0.85) | 21.71% ( 0.56) | 9.57% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 31.87% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.04% ( -1.1) | 60.96% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.04% ( -0.83) | 80.96% ( 0.83) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( -0.68) | 17.14% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.62% ( -1.21) | 47.37% ( 1.21) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.46% ( -0.05) | 61.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.58% ( -0.03) | 91.41% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 18.6% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 16.4% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.26)2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 68.71% | 0-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.42) 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.01% Total : 9.57% |
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