SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | River Plate |
37.46% ( -0.24) | 26.72% ( -0.06) | 35.82% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( 0.25) | 53.22% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( 0.22) | 74.78% ( -0.21) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( -0.02) | 27.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( -0.03) | 63.04% ( 0.03) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( 0.3) | 28.5% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( 0.38) | 64.27% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.45% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.82% |
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