Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
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