Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Central Cordoba win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
