SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 40.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Platense had a probability of 29.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Platense |
40.53% ( 0.91) | 29.92% ( -1.09) | 29.54% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 41.33% ( 2.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.41% ( 3.14) | 65.59% ( -3.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.7% ( 2.11) | 84.3% ( -2.12) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( 2.22) | 31.81% ( -2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( 2.47) | 68.25% ( -2.47) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.61% ( 1.96) | 39.39% ( -1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.91% ( 1.78) | 76.09% ( -1.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.81) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.53% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.53% ( -1.54)2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.38)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.92% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.75) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.47% Total : 29.54% |
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