SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.6%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.57%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 19.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Godoy Cruz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Sarmiento |
56.75% ( -0.13) | 28.04% ( 0.14) | 15.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 31.92% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.32% ( -0.33) | 69.68% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.97% ( -0.22) | 87.03% ( 0.22) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( -0.22) | 25.51% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.64% ( -0.3) | 60.36% ( 0.3) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.85% ( -0.22) | 57.15% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.88% ( -0.12) | 89.12% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 19.91% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 13.6% 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 56.74% | 0-0 @ 14.57% ( 0.18) 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.21% |
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