Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.
