SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Sarmiento |
48.18% ( 0.03) | 27.68% ( -0.19) | 24.13% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 43.56% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.93% ( 0.72) | 61.06% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.95% ( 0.53) | 81.04% ( -0.54) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( 0.34) | 25.51% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.64% ( 0.47) | 60.36% ( -0.47) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.47% ( 0.57) | 41.52% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.98% ( 0.5) | 78.02% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.06% Total : 48.18% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.19% Total : 24.13% |
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