SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
53.56% ( -0.39) | 26.87% ( 0.05) | 19.56% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 40.54% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.78% ( 0.16) | 62.21% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.1% ( 0.12) | 81.89% ( -0.12) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( -0.1) | 23.54% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.41% ( -0.15) | 57.59% ( 0.15) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.02% ( 0.49) | 46.97% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.53% ( 0.37) | 82.47% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 1-0 @ 15.99% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 53.55% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.56% |
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