SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Tigre |
54.96% ( 0.64) | 26.44% ( -0.25) | 18.6% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 40.25% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.16% ( 0.38) | 61.84% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.38% ( 0.28) | 81.62% ( -0.28) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( 0.44) | 22.77% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.54% ( 0.64) | 56.47% ( -0.64) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.11% ( -0.23) | 47.89% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.85% ( -0.17) | 83.15% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 16.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.6% |
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