SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 47.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Tigre |
47.57% ( 0.55) | 27.82% ( -0.06) | 24.6% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 43.6% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.77% ( -0.11) | 61.22% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.84% ( -0.09) | 81.16% ( 0.08) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( 0.22) | 25.88% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( 0.3) | 60.86% ( -0.3) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.82% ( -0.52) | 41.17% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.29% ( -0.46) | 77.71% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 14.4% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 47.57% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.23% Total : 24.6% |
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