SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
43.58% ( -4.48) | 26.99% ( 1.92) | 29.43% ( 2.57) |
| Both teams to score 49.13% ( -4.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.2% ( -6.19) | 55.8% ( 6.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.07% ( -5.29) | 76.93% ( 5.3) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -4.74) | 25.41% ( 4.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( -6.97) | 60.22% ( 6.98) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( -1.28) | 34.13% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.18% ( -1.4) | 70.82% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 1.18) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.65)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.94)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.72)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.6)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.58)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.48)Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 1.89)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.53)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 1.77) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.81)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.43% |
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