SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Thailand win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Thailand |
56.62% ( -0.01) | 23.12% ( 0.13) | 20.25% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( -0.71) | 47.9% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( -0.65) | 70.08% ( 0.66) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( -0.25) | 16.7% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.41% ( -0.46) | 46.59% ( 0.46) |
| Thailand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.12% ( -0.53) | 37.88% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% ( -0.52) | 74.66% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Thailand |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 56.62% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 20.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
