SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Thailand | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Oman | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Thailand | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Oman | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Thailand win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Thailand |
45.24% ( 0.99) | 24.37% ( -0.27) | 30.39% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 58.02% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( 0.87) | 44.48% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( 0.83) | 66.85% ( -0.83) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( 0.79) | 19.8% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( 1.26) | 51.86% ( -1.26) |
| Thailand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( -0.05) | 27.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -0.06) | 63.2% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Thailand |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.01% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.39% |
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