SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 6 | 12 | 15 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Merida | 6 | -13 | 3 |
| 4 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Palestine win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Uzbekistan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Palestine | Draw | Uzbekistan |
21.41% ( 0) | 23.63% ( 0.02) | 54.96% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( -0.1) | 48.59% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( -0.1) | 70.71% ( 0.09) |
| Palestine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( -0.05) | 37.1% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% ( -0.05) | 73.89% ( 0.05) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( -0.05) | 17.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( -0.09) | 48.08% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palestine | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.41% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 54.95% |
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