SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Iran had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Iran |
38.45% ( 2.77) | 29.04% ( -0.01) | 32.51% ( -2.76) |
| Both teams to score 44.46% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.82% ( -0.2) | 62.18% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.13% ( -0.14) | 81.87% ( 0.14) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( 1.65) | 31.32% ( -1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( 1.87) | 67.69% ( -1.88) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.74% ( -2.01) | 35.25% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% ( -2.15) | 72.01% ( 2.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.69)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.99% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.65)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.11% Total : 32.51% |
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