SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Iran had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Iran |
38.45% ( 2.77) | 29.04% ( -0.01) | 32.51% ( -2.76) |
| Both teams to score 44.46% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.82% ( -0.2) | 62.18% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.13% ( -0.14) | 81.87% ( 0.14) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( 1.65) | 31.32% ( -1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.31% ( 1.87) | 67.69% ( -1.88) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.74% ( -2.01) | 35.25% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.99% ( -2.15) | 72.01% ( 2.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.69)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.99% Total : 38.44% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 6% ( -0.65)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.11% Total : 32.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 19 |
| 12 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Everton | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 41 | -30 | 5 |
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