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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Milliy Stadion
IN
Uzbekistan
2 - 2
Iran
Urunov (52'), Sergeev (83')
Aliqulov (3'), Katanec (4'), Sayfiyev (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rezaeian (14'), Taremi (38')
Kanani (48'), Karimi (80')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Uzbekistan and Iran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Turkmenistan 1-3 Uzbekistan
Thursday, November 16 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 4-0 Hong Kong
Thursday, November 16 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England377
2USA315
3Iran3-33
4Wales3-51

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Iran had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Iran win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
UzbekistanDrawIran
38.45% (2.766 2.77) 29.04% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 32.51% (-2.759 -2.76)
Both teams to score 44.46% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.82% (-0.195 -0.2)62.18% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.13% (-0.142 -0.14)81.87% (0.14099999999999 0.14)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (1.649 1.65)31.32% (-1.651 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (1.872 1.87)67.69% (-1.875 -1.88)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.74% (-2.006 -2.01)35.25% (2.003 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (-2.15 -2.15)72.01% (2.148 2.15)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 38.44%
    Iran 32.51%
    Draw 29.03%
UzbekistanDrawIran
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.65 0.65)
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.327 0.33)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.692 0.69)
3-1 @ 3% (0.254 0.25)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.383 0.38)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 38.44%
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.03%
0-1 @ 11.51% (-0.56 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-2 @ 6% (-0.645 -0.65)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 32.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Turkmenistan 1-3 Uzbekistan
Thursday, November 16 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: China 1-2 Uzbekistan
Monday, October 16 at 12.35pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Vietnam 0-2 Uzbekistan
Friday, October 13 at 12.35pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 3-3 Uzbekistan
Wednesday, September 13 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 3-0 Uzbekistan
Saturday, September 9 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-1 Venezuela
Tuesday, March 28 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 4-0 Hong Kong
Thursday, November 16 at 2.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 0-4 Iran
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jordan 1-3 Iran
Friday, October 13 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 4-0 Angola
Tuesday, September 12 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Bulgaria 0-1 Iran
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 2-1 Kenya
Tuesday, March 28 at 6pm in International Friendlies
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