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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 4pm UK
Planet Pure Stadion

Austria Lustenau
0 - 1
Sturm Graz


Matzler (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wuthrich (33')
Gorenc Stankovic (5'), Kiteishvili (45+5'), Prass (45+2')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Austria Lustenau and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsberger 1-1 Austria Lustenau
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-3 PSV
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Austria LustenauDrawSturm Graz
12.57% (0.00099999999999945 0) 16.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 71.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 58.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.75% (0.0040000000000049 0)30.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)51.49% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Austria Lustenau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)7.51% (-0.0021000000000004 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.95% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Score Analysis
    Austria Lustenau 12.57%
    Sturm Graz 71.25%
    Draw 16.18%
Austria LustenauDrawSturm Graz
2-1 @ 3.62%
1-0 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 1.4%
3-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 12.57%
1-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.69%
0-0 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 9.15% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-3 @ 7.99%
0-3 @ 7.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-4 @ 5.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 5.11%
2-3 @ 4.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-5 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 2.62%
2-5 @ 1.36%
1-6 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-6 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 71.25%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wolfsberger 1-1 Austria Lustenau
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Lustenau 0-2 Austria Vienna
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 2-2 Austria Lustenau
Saturday, July 29 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Neustadt 1-1 Austria Lustenau
Friday, September 22 at 5.30pm in Austrian Eerste Liga
Last Game: SV Ried 3-1 Austria Lustenau
Friday, September 15 at 5.30pm in Austrian Eerste Liga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-3 PSV
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: PSV 4-1 Sturm Graz
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 LASK
Saturday, August 5 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-3 Sturm Graz
Sunday, July 30 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, July 18 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1


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