SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Galatasaray |
38.59% ( 1.29) | 24.18% ( -0.37) | 37.23% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( 1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( 1.78) | 41.76% ( -1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( 1.77) | 64.17% ( -1.77) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( 1.45) | 21.7% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( 2.16) | 54.85% ( -2.16) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 0.33) | 22.39% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( 0.48) | 55.89% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.4)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.52)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.23% |
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