SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | LASK Linz |
38.04% ( 0.49) | 24.76% ( -0.34) | 37.2% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( 1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.45% ( 1.6) | 44.55% ( -1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( 1.53) | 66.91% ( -1.52) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( 0.98) | 23.21% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.89% ( 1.41) | 57.11% ( -1.4) |
| LASK Linz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( 0.66) | 23.65% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( 0.93) | 57.75% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | LASK Linz |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.04% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.39)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.2% |
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