Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.72%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sturm Graz |
54.74% (![]() | 20.1% (![]() | 25.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 69.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.14% (![]() | 27.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.44% (![]() | 48.56% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.45% (![]() | 10.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.73% (![]() | 34.26% (![]() |
Sturm Graz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% (![]() | 22.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% (![]() | 56.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sturm Graz |
2-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.59% Total : 54.74% | 1-1 @ 7.96% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.1% | 1-2 @ 5.94% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.16% |
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