SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austria Vienna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Grazer AK |
45.05% ( 0.22) | 22.83% ( 0.01) | 32.12% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 64.52% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.68% ( -0.13) | 36.32% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.55% ( -0.14) | 58.45% ( 0.14) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0.03) | 16.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( 0.06) | 46.46% ( -0.06) |
| Grazer AK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( -0.19) | 22.61% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.78% ( -0.28) | 56.22% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Grazer AK |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.44% Total : 45.05% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 32.12% |
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