SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 86.85%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.05%) and 0-4 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.26%), while for a Hartberg win it was 2-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartberg | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
4.09% ( 0.67) | 9.05% ( 1.2) | 86.85% ( -1.86) |
| Both teams to score 44.5% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.01% ( -2.96) | 25.99% ( 2.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.8% ( -3.9) | 46.2% ( 3.9) |
| Hartberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.33% ( 0.43) | 53.67% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.93% ( 0.27) | 87.07% ( -0.27) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.06% ( -0.73) | 3.94% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.32% ( -2.44) | 16.68% ( 2.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartberg | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 2-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.25)Other @ 1.45% Total : 4.09% | 1-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.38)Other @ 0.54% Total : 9.05% | 0-3 @ 11.92% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 11.05% ( 0.79)0-4 @ 9.64% ( -0.48)1-3 @ 7.42% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.58)0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.87)0-5 @ 6.24% ( -0.73)1-4 @ 6% ( -0.22)1-5 @ 3.88% ( -0.4)0-6 @ 3.36% ( -0.63)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.09)1-6 @ 2.09% ( -0.36)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)0-7 @ 1.55% ( -0.41)2-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.11)1-7 @ 0.97% ( -0.24)Other @ 3.64% Total : 86.85% |
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