SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Inter Milan |
36.06% ( 0.56) | 25.48% ( 0.13) | 38.46% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( -0.52) | 47.9% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( -0.48) | 70.07% ( 0.48) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( 0.08) | 25.82% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( 0.11) | 60.78% ( -0.11) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( -0.6) | 24.5% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( -0.85) | 58.96% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.41% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.46% |
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