SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
30.45% ( 0.09) | 25.48% ( -0.02) | 44.07% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.68% ( 0.12) | 49.33% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( 0.11) | 71.38% ( -0.1) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( 0.12) | 30.04% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.83% ( 0.15) | 66.17% ( -0.15) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( 0.02) | 22.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( 0.02) | 55.82% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.45% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.06% |
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