SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 45%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| LASK Linz | Draw | Sturm Graz |
30.12% ( -0.02) | 24.88% ( -0) | 45% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( -0.01) | 46.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( -0) | 69.12% ( 0) |
| LASK Linz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.01) | 29.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% ( -0.02) | 64.94% ( 0.02) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% ( 0.01) | 20.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% ( 0.01) | 53.58% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| LASK Linz | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.12% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.88% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.65% Total : 45% |
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