SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 0-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsberger | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
20.11% ( -0.35) | 21.13% ( -0.03) | 58.75% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 58.16% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( -0.37) | 39.27% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( -0.38) | 61.6% ( 0.38) |
| Wolfsberger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.55) | 33.06% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( -0.62) | 69.66% ( 0.61) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( -0.01) | 13.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.28% ( -0.01) | 39.72% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsberger | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 2-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 20.11% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.13% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.15)0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.39% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.6% Total : 58.75% |
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